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02/20/2007 - Philadelphia, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Mark Martin won the 2007 Daytona 500. Sure, he didn't get the trophy, the huge check or drenched by champagne in Victory Lane, but that doesn't change the fact that he won the race.
In typical NASCAR fashion, the rules were not applied consistently and this time it cost Martin the biggest prize of his career.
To set the scene we must turn back the clock to Sunday - lap 202 of the Daytona 500. Martin has held off the field and is just a short distance from his first Daytona 500 win in 23 attempts. Harvick is flying on the outside with help from Matt Kenseth and is close to catching Martin. Through turn three they go and Kyle Busch gets too low on the track, the rear wheels break loose and he slids up into Kenseth. All hell breaks loose behind the two leaders.
Had it been any other lap in the race, the caution flag would have come out immediately.
But NASCAR is gun-shy to throw the caution flag on the final lap of a race ever since Gordon was declared the winner over Dale Earnhardt Jr, at Talladega in the summer of 2004. The fans almost started a riot after the race, throwing bottles and cans at Gordon as he tried to take his victory lap.
So they let Martin and Harvick decide it on the track. They held the flag behind their back while Clint Bowyer was sliding upside down with flames leaping from the engine.
Harvick edged Martin by 0.020 seconds - about three feet.
"I have no idea what happened behind me," Martin said after the race. "From what my spotter said, I was ahead when they started wrecking."
About two hours after the race had ended, NASCAR changed the ruling saying: "When the No.07 car (Bowyer) went sideways - the No.29 (Harvick) was ahead of the No.01 (Martin) and was declared the winner."
Ten minutes later they reversed that statement by saying the race "ended under the green flag."
Still, Martin is a "gentlemen racer" and he didn't complain about the decision and what might have been. He said in the post-race press conference that he "thought NASCAR made the right decision." Martin is the kind of guy who wants to win the Daytona 500 fair and square. He didn't want to win the Daytona 500 by caution flag, he wanted to be the first driver to the checkered flag.
You may not respect NASCAR for its decision but you MUST respect the driver.
<< Lightning try to rebound against Panthers
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The first-place Tampa Bay Lightning will attempt to avenge
a weekend loss to the Florida Panthers when the Southeast Division rivals
complete a home-and-home series tonight at St. Pete Times Forum.
Florida got the upper ha
<< Rangers, Devils open home-and-home series in New Jersey
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The New York Rangers and New Jersey Devils begin an
important home-and-home series this evening, with the first of the consecutive
meetings to take place at Continental Airlines Arena.
These two games carry importance for
<< Habs entertain Caps in encounter between struggling clubs
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Montreal Canadiens will try to post back-to-back wins
for the first time in a month as they welcome the Washington Capitals for
tonight's showdown at the Bell Centre.
The Canadiens ended a six-game losing stre
<< Murray goes for win No. 600 as Senators host Oilers
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Two teams headed in different directions face off tonight
at Ottawa's Scotiabank Place, where the Senators wrap up a three-game
homestand with a matchup against the slumping Edmonton Oilers.
Ottawa has won the first two ga
Cowboys sign Gurode to six-year deal >>
Irving, TX (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Dallas Cowboys signed offensive lineman
Andre Gurode to a six-year contract on Tuesday.
Gurode started all 17 games last season for the Cowboys and was added to the
Pro Bowl as an injury replacement f
76ers still alive for lottery >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - All it takes is a dollar and a dream for a select few to
strike it rich in the lottery.
But in order for the Philadelphia 76ers to start raking in the loot, they have
to bag the rest of the 2006-07 season and start ev
Celtics send Ray to D-League >>
Boston, MA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Boston Celtics assigned rookie guard
Allan Ray to their NBA Development League affiliate in Austin.
Ray is the team's first assignment to the NBA Development League this season
and the 19th NBA pla
Leopold out four weeks for Avs >>
Denver, CO (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Colorado Avalanche defenseman Jordan Leopold
will be sidelined approximately four weeks with a fractured wrist.
Leopold, who will undergo surgery, suffered the injury during the third period
of Colorado's 7-
Numerous College Basketball teams take final big step to March Madness betting
So, what turned on the lock spigot? Well, after what felt like weeks of teams treading water and slipping back into the bubble muck, a bunch of them finally decided to say "to heck with parity" and won games that should put them into the Big Dance.
Disagree with some of these? Then here's the challenge. Take all of the "should be ins" and make a legit case that each should be ahead of the team that's a lock. Then find 10 more teams that also should be placed in the bracket ahead of that lock team. Not so easy, is it?
If you want more evidence that these locks should be good to go, check out what our research department dug up. Since the NCAA Tournament went to 64 teams in 1985, only six teams from a "big six" conference have had a record of 10-6 or better in conference play and not been selected: Colorado (2004) and Nebraska (1999) from the Big 12, Boston College and Seton Hall (both 2003) from the Big East, Indiana (2005) from the Big Ten and UCLA, which somehow went 12-6 in the Pac-10 in 1988 and still missed out. (Note: Five teams went 11-7 and didn't get in, the latest being last season's Stanford team, which had a brutal nonconference run.)
Yes, 10 conference wins doesn't always mean what it used to because of unbalanced schedules, but this season, it should be plenty good in all but the extreme cases (see: Iowa).
In a way, this is a welcome development, because this is a bubble watch, not a lock watch. We can finally be done with teams like Maryland and Virginia Tech and start really bearing down on at-large battles such as Syracuse-West Virginia and Appalachian State-Georgia Tech.
Interestingly, all the shifting of teams into lock status appears to be more administrative than impactful. The number of remaining available at-larges didn't change one iota. The only difference is that teams on the bubble now have a clearer idea of which team(s) they are competing with for those precious bids.
| The Bubble Breakdown | |||
| CONFERENCE | LOCKS | SHOULD BE INS | AT-LARGES TAKEN (assuming no auto bid outlier) |
| ACC Betting Odds | 6 | 0 | 5 |
| Big East Betting Odds | 5 | 0 | 4 |
| Big Ten Betting Odds | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Big 12 Betting Odds | 3 | 0 | 2 |
| Pac-10 Betting Odds | 5 | 1 | 5 |
| SEC Betting Odds | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| MVC Betting Odds | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| MWC Betting Odds | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| TOTAL | 28 | 5 | 25 |
As always, I've tried to be as inclusive as possible while only including teams that would have a reasonable chance of at least being discussed if this were Selection Sunday. If your team's not on here, there's probably a good reason (or three) -- start with the RPI and SOS numbers and work your way down.
(Please remember, per selection committee criteria, that records displayed are Division I only. Next update: Feb. 28)
If you have a legitimate grievance, or just like talking bubble, send an e-mail. Polite ones with fact-based arguments have a much better chance of receiving a response. I apologize in advance if I can't get back to all of you.
Atlantic Coast Conference
Work left to do: Clemson, Florida State, Georgia Tech
The ACC moves to six locks as BC, Va Tech and Virginia all got their 10th ACC wins, which should be more than enough this season, and Maryland rallied past North Carolina to get the final piece the Terps needed. After that? It could end there unless FSU, Ga Tech or Clemson picks things up in a hurry.
Work left to do:
Clemson [19-9 (5-9), RPI: 41, SOS: 42] The Tigers are closer to locking up the collapse of the year award (in a good battle with OK State) than they are to grabbing an at-large. Clemson's been very competitive, but there's no really positive way you can spin nine losses in 11 games. They now cannot get to .500 in ACC play and still must head to Virginia Tech in the season finale (after hosting Miami). Unless the Tigers win both and/or do some serious work in the ACC tourney, they very well could be left out. There are no great nonconference wins, but ODU, App State, Miss. State, South Carolina and Georgia are all respectable W's.
Florida State [18-11 (6-9), RPI: 48, SOS: 14] The Noles got thrashed at Maryland to run their losing streak to five, but then pounded NC State at home to set the table for what likely is an elimination game at Miami. You can at least make a case for the Seminoles at 7-9 in ACC play (and some work in the ACC tourney), but 6-10 is not going to cut it. Wins at Duke and over Florida will resonate, but the computer numbers remain questionable. Beyond Florida, FSU thrashed bubble buddy Providence, but there's not a ton beyond those two games that will help. They didn't show well in big-time opportunities against Pitt and Wisconsin (before the Florida win).
Georgia Tech [18-10 (6-8), RPI: 51, SOS: 46] The Jackets beat Wake on Wednesday but couldn't get it done at UVa on Saturday, which could be a crucial loss with UNC and BC (both at home) remaining and 8-8 almost a certain need for at-large consideration. A nonconference win over Memphis helps, but the RPI and SOS are not at-large quality right now; if you combine those with a sub-.500 ACC mark, that could spell NIT for GT.
For more College Basketball betting lines go to MySportsbook.com
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